The market moved

-10.5ppin 24h · now 53¢

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun

Sports · resolves Aug 18 · vol $651.09

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 53¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the final score including any overtime periods — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the final score including any overtime periods.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.