The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 89¢

Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun

Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $228.54

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 89¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 19.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.