The market moved
-30.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5
Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $4.7K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.