The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 47¢
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?
Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $66.91
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.