Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.4pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the final score including any extra time or penalty shootouts — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: based on the final score including any extra time or penalty shootouts.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 1.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.