The market moved

-24.9ppin 24h · now

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 14?

Macro · resolves May 14 · vol $4.9K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-24.9pp · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 14? | Orrery