The market moved

-4.3ppin 24h · now

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 6?

Macro · resolves Jul 6 · vol $81.45

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.3pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.