The market moved

-48.6ppin 24h · now

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on July 1?

Macro · resolves Jul 1 · vol $266.40

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 48.6pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 8.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.