The market moved

+48.4ppin 24h · now 98¢

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 22?

Other · resolves Jul 22 · vol $3.3K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 48.4pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 0.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.