The market moved
-11.0ppin 24h · now 38¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 11?
Other · resolves Aug 11 · vol $4.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.