The market moved

-37.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?

Other · resolves May 13 · vol $12.7K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 37.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-37.5pp · Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13? | Orrery