The market moved

-12.5ppin 24h · now 17¢

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $105.15

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-12.5pp · Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? | Orrery