Orrery Pulse

Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

2% current
7D range
2-45%
Net move
-42.6pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineJul 31

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.