Orrery Pulse

Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

26% current
7D range
24-50%
Net move
-24.5pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Aug 1450% decision lineAug 16

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.