Orrery Pulse

Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

10% current
7D range
3-48%
Net move
-36.0pp
24h volume
$473
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 4

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.