Orrery Pulse

Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

35% current
7D range
35-48%
Net move
-13.0pp
24h volume
$668
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 4

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.