Orrery Pulse

Will 220-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?

7% current
7D range
6-49%
Net move
-41.0pp
24h volume
$73
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2550% decision lineJul 28

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.