Orrery Pulse

Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

16% current
7D range
12-50%
Net move
-34.0pp
24h volume
$462
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 4

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.