Orrery Pulse

Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?

4% current
7D range
4-14%
Net move
-6.5pp
24h volume
$36
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 23

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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