Orrery Pulse

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

29% current
7D range
29-61%
Net move
-19.0pp
24h volume
$233
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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