Orrery Pulse

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

96% current
7D range
79-96%
Net move
+5.5pp
24h volume
$10k
7 day implied probability chart
Jun 2950% decision lineJul 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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