Orrery Pulse

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

78% current
7D range
76-97%
Net move
-16.0pp
24h volume
$34k
7 day implied probability chart
Jun 3050% decision lineJul 7

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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