Orrery Pulse

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

67% current
7D range
54-78%
Net move
+12.5pp
24h volume
$4k
7 day implied probability chart
Jun 2650% decision lineJul 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

Live dashboardCreate alertView market