Orrery Pulse

Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

6% current
7D range
5-44%
Net move
-38.0pp
24h volume
$590
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

Live dashboardCreate alertView market