Orrery Pulse

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

30% current
7D range
28-52%
Net move
-22.0pp
24h volume
$7k
7 day implied probability chart
Jun 2650% decision lineJul 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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