Orrery Pulse

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

73% current
7D range
44-76%
Net move
+29.0pp
24h volume
$2k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 250% decision lineJul 3

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.