Orrery Pulse

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

39% current
7D range
14-73%
Net move
+23.5pp
24h volume
$271k
7 day implied probability chart
May 1850% decision lineMay 25

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.