Orrery Pulse

Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?

2% current
7D range
1-47%
Net move
-43.2pp
24h volume
$106
7 day implied probability chart
Aug 550% decision lineAug 9

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.