Orrery Pulse

Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

35% current
7D range
8-50%
Net move
-15.5pp
24h volume
$2k
7 day implied probability chart
Aug 1450% decision lineAug 16

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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