Orrery Pulse

Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?

59% current
7D range
38-73%
Net move
+11.0pp
24h volume
$3k
7 day implied probability chart
Aug 850% decision lineAug 11

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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