Orrery Pulse

Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

44% current
7D range
27-52%
Net move
-8.0pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 4

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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