Orrery Pulse

Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?

76% current
7D range
45-76%
Net move
+25.5pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2550% decision lineJul 28

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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