Orrery Pulse

Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?

63% current
7D range
7-67%
Net move
+18.5pp
24h volume
$179
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 24

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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