Orrery Pulse

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?

2% current
7D range
2-25%
Net move
-22.7pp
24h volume
$85
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

Live dashboardCreate alertView market