Orrery Pulse

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

35% current
7D range
34-43%
Net move
-1.5pp
24h volume
$202
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.