Orrery Pulse

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?

8% current
7D range
5-29%
Net move
-10.6pp
24h volume
$218
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.