Orrery Pulse

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

28% current
7D range
28-42%
Net move
-2.0pp
24h volume
$226
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.