Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

5% current
7D range
5-10%
Net move
-3.2pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2350% decision lineJul 29

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.