Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

16% current
7D range
14-20%
Net move
-4.0pp
24h volume
$460
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.