Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

29% current
7D range
15-36%
Net move
-7.3pp
24h volume
$82
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2350% decision lineJul 30

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.