Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

41% current
7D range
34-41%
Net move
+6.0pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2350% decision lineJul 30

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.