Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

12% current
7D range
9-13%
Net move
+0.6pp
24h volume
$3
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2350% decision lineJul 30

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.