Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

16% current
7D range
13-17%
Net move
+0.5pp
24h volume
$1
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2350% decision lineJul 30

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.