Orrery Pulse

Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

42% current
7D range
16-42%
Net move
+21.0pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
May 1050% decision lineMay 17

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.