Orrery Pulse

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

57% current
7D range
50-69%
Net move
-11.5pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.