Orrery Pulse

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

49% current
7D range
41-73%
Net move
+2.5pp
24h volume
$5k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1050% decision lineJul 12

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.