Orrery Pulse

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?

33% current
7D range
2-45%
Net move
-11.6pp
24h volume
$1k
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1050% decision lineJul 12

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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