Orrery Pulse

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

23% current
7D range
5-50%
Net move
-22.0pp
24h volume
$4k
7 day implied probability chart
Jun 1250% decision lineJun 14

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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