Orrery Pulse

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

8% current
7D range
8-13%
Net move
-4.5pp
24h volume
$188
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.