Orrery Pulse

Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

6% current
7D range
5-43%
Net move
-36.5pp
24h volume
$53
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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