Orrery Pulse

Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?

12% current
7D range
5-19%
Net move
+4.0pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 24

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.